In other words, teacher evaluations based on observed state test outcomes are only slightly better than coin tosses at identifying teachers whose students perform unusually well or badly on assessments of conceptual understanding. This result, underplayed in the MET report, reinforces a number of serious concerns that have been raised about the use of VAMs for teacher evaluations."
http://nepc.colorado.edu/thinktank/review-learning-about-teaching
http://nepc.colorado.edu/thinktank/review-learning-about-teaching